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PDF preview of Fire and Water article cover. The background photo is the tops of a small group of trees.
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Fire and Water: Predicting Future Wildfires in a Changing Climate

  • Article
  • Middle School
  • 1 Classroom Period
  • Active Forest Management
  • Fire
  • Water
  • Climate
  • Drought
  • Modeling
  • Prescribed Fire
  • Wildfire
  • Wildland Fire
PDF preview of Fire and Water article cover. The background photo is the tops of a small group of trees.
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Successfully predicting where and when wildfires might occur is important. This prediction is important because of possible environmental and economic damage. As the climate warms, the possibility of wildfires might increase. The scientists in this study wanted to predict where and in what seasons wildfires might occur.

 

Fire and Water: Predicting Future Wildfires in a Changing Climate

Jump To

  • Meet the Scientists
  • Thinking About Science
  • Thinking About the Environment
  • Introduction
  • Methods
  • Findings
  • Discussion

What Kinds of Scientists Did this Research?

  • Ecologist: This scientist studies the relationship of living things with their living and nonliving environment.
  • Meteorologist: This scientist studies the atmosphere.

Meet the Scientists

John Stanturf

John Stanturf

Ecologist

My favorite science experience is getting to meet all kinds of people in many countries and seeing different kinds of forests.   Read Full Bio
Scott Goodrick

Scott Goodrick

Meteorologist

My favorite discovery is that the atmosphere connects all parts of the globe. Colder than normal ocean temperatures along the equator in the Pacific Ocean can change weather patterns over... Read Full Bio

Thinking About Science

Predicting what might happen is a challenge. To plan for the future, a range of possibilities must be considered. Although we do not know for sure what the future will bring, we can plan for the future with many possibilities in mind.

 

Consider your own future. You might think, “If I get an A in English this year, I will be asked to join the school newspaper staff next year.” Or, you might think, “If I get a D in English this year, I will not be allowed to join the soccer team next year.” Along with these different possible futures, it is helpful to have some idea of how likely you are to earn either grade. Otherwise, you might have a difficult time planning for your future.

 

The scientists in this study wanted to predict the future likeliness of wildfires and where in the Southern United States these wildfires might occur. To do this, the scientists considered four possible futures. Each of these four possible futures was built on different ideas about what might happen in the future.

 

Each possible future was described by a model. A model is a simplified example of something. These four models were built from mathematical equations that described a possible future. Each model, for example, contained a different number projecting the human population in 2060. Each model also contained a different number projecting the average yearly air temperature in 2060. Using numbers to describe possible future conditions enables scientists to predict what might happen in the future.

 

 


Thinking About the Environment

Wildfires are a particular type of wildland fire. Some wildland fires are beneficial to a forest. This is because some kinds of forests need occasional fire to remain healthy (fig. 1).

 

A longleaf pine forest
Figure 1. A longleaf pine forest needs occasional fire to remain healthy. Photo by Ricky Layson and courtesy of http://www.bugwood.org.

Sometimes, wildland fires are purposefully set and managed to improve a forest’s health. Beneficial fires burn at low temperatures and their flames stay close to the ground. These fires help to clean out brush and wood lying on the ground, but do not damage large trees. When fires are purposefully set, they are managed so that they can be easily put out. These kind of fires are called prescribed fires (fig. 2).

A person in full fire gear starting a prescribed fire
Figure 2. A prescribed fire is purposefully set by foresters to manage the forest. Photo by David Cappaert and courtesy of http://www.bugwood.org.

Wildfires are a different kind of wildland fire. Wildfires may be ignited naturally, such as by lightning. They may also be ignited by careless human acts. Wildfires burn at high temperatures. Their flames reach high into tree crowns (fig. 3). Wildfires are difficult to control and extinguish, and they may cause a lot of environmental and economic damage.

A wildland fire in a forest
Figure 3. Wildfires are large wildland fires whose flames reach high into tree crowns. Photo courtesy of the Georgia Forestry Commission Archive and http://www.bugwood.org.

Introduction

Wildfires often occur during times of drought. When rainfall is low, trees, wood lying on the ground, and leaf litter are drier, and therefore are more likely to burn (fig. 4). Wildfires are more likely when droughts occur and during periods of high temperatures.

Wood lyting on the forest floor
Figure 4. Wood lying on the forest floor, along with leaf litter, provides fuel for wildfires. Photo by Babs McDonald.

Successfully predicting where and when wildfires might occur is important. This prediction is important because of possible environmental and economic damage. As the climate warms, the possibility of wildfires might increase. The scientists in this study wanted to predict where and in what seasons wildfires might occur.

The scientists were particularly interested in the Southern United States (fig. 5).

"A

Wildfires across the Southern United States burn fewer hectares than are burned in the Western United States (fig. 6). These southern fires, however, destroy many more homes and buildings than western wildfires. The scientists wanted to look 50 years into the future to the year 2060.

A graphic of a soccer field
Figure 6. A hectare is a little smaller than a soccer field. One hectare is equal to 2.47 acres.

Number Crunch

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Reflection Section

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Methods

If the climate were not changing, scientists might predict that there would be no change in the occurrence of wildfires. Because the climate is changing, scientists believe that the occurrence of wildfires will change. An aspect of climate change of particular importance to wildfire prediction is rising temperatures. As average temperatures rise, the possibility of drought rises as well.

To predict potential wildfires, the scientists considered four possible futures (fig. 7). These futures were based on different climate change models. A climate change model is a mathematical equation that makes different assumptions about weather and other conditions over time.

A chart showing the different climate models
Figure 7. The four possible futures were labeled A, B, C, and D. Each of these futures was based on a climate change model. Each model makes different assumptions about the future. Each climate change model, for example, assumes that the temperature will rise by a different number of degrees. Each assumes different patterns of rainfall. Because scientists do not know for sure what will happen in the future, they consider different possible futures.

 

The scientists then measured the potential for wildfire in each of these possible futures. This measurement took two things into account. These two things are potential evapotranspiration and how much precipitation is predicted to fall (fig. 8).

 

A chart showing evapotranspiration
Figure 8. Potential evapotranspiration is a measure of how much water can move from the surface of Earth to the atmosphere. Precipitation is a measure of how much water moves from the atmosphere to Earth. Illustration by Stephanie Pfeiffer.

The scientists calculated potential evapotranspiration based on the predicted weather variables in each of the four models. The scientists then subtracted predicted precipitation from potential evapotranspiration for each model.

What Is the Difference Between Weather and Climate?

The difference between weather and climate is a measure of time. Weather is the conditions in the atmosphere over a short amount of time. Weather includes daily temperatures, relative humidity, and wind speed, for example. Climate is a long-term average of weather measurements. Climate change is changes in the long-term average of weather measurements.

In drier areas, potential evapotranspiration is higher than precipitation (fig. 9). Drier areas may be more likely to experience wildfires. Using this process, the scientists identified areas in the Southern United States that may be more likely to have wildfires. They used this process for each of the four possible futures in the year 2060.

The top is a picture of crops growing in dry dirt. The bottom is rows of crops with water very present
Figure 9. When potential evapotranspiration is greater than precipitation, an area experiences drought (A). When potential evapotranspiration is less than precipitation, an area experiences wet conditions (B). You will notice in photo B that there is a lighter area at the front of the photo. This lighter colored area is water. Photos courtesy of Tom Miller, University of Kentucky, and http://www.bugwood.org (A), and Daren Mueller, Iowa State University, and http://www.bugwood.org (B).

What Is Potential Evapotranspiration?

Potential evapotranspiration is a measurement used by scientists to determine how much evaporation would occur from our planet’s surface if enough water was available. Potential evapotranspiration is affected by temperature, wind, and other weather variables. It is not affected, however, by the amount of water available because adequate water supply is assumed.

Reflection Section

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Findings

All four possible futures showed similar wildfire potential in 2010 (fig. 10a). Areas in the western part of the Southern United States had a higher potential for wildfire because of drier conditions and higher temperatures.

 

4 maps of the U.S. showing drought potantial
Figure 10a. Wildfire potential as a function of potential drought in the Southern United States in 2010 for four possible futures.

 

Prescribed fire is used frequently in the South to reduce the amount of fuel on the ground. As the wildfire season gets longer in the future, the need for fuel reduction will be greater. Unfortunately, drier conditions will also make using prescribed fire more dangerous. Some of the greater dangers of prescribed fire in drier conditions include the following:

 

  • More chance of fire escaping
  • More damage to natural and human-built resources
  • More smoke-related air pollution, causing health problems
  • More smoke in the air, creating dangerous driving conditions

 

Instead of using prescribed fire, managers may need to use other procedures to reduce ground-level fuels. Other procedures include cutting or chopping and removing ground-level plants or using chemicals to kill the plants. Unfortunately, these other methods usually cost more than prescribed fire, and these methods provide fewer environmental benefits than prescribed fire.

 

If the chance for wildfire increases into the future, more fires will contribute even more to climate change. When forests are green and growing, they hold carbon on Earth. When trees and other plants are burned by wildfire or prescribed fire, the carbon contained in the trees is released into the atmosphere.

 

To better understand how conditions might change in the future, the scientists compared the map of wildfire potential in 2060 (fig. 10b) with the map of areas experiencing wildfires in 2010 (fig. 10a).

 

4 maps of the U.S. showing different drought potentials
Figure 10b. Wildfire potential as a function of potential drought in the Southern United States in 2060 for four possible futures.

 

The scientists found that, in 2060, the driest areas were not always the areas with wildfires. Dry areas may have little vegetation and therefore no fuel to burn in a wildfire. Areas predicted to have the greatest number of burned hectares were areas with the most precipitation. Many hectares burn in these areas because high precipitation causes forest growth. Many trees provide a lot of fuel for wildfires.

 

In 2060, all four possible futures predicted drier conditions than in 2010. Future A showed the most extreme dry conditions. All of the areas experiencing wildfires in 2010 are predicted to become drier in 2060 with a higher potential for wildfire.

 

Reflection Section

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Discussion

The scientists concluded that wildfire risk will increase slightly over the next 50 years. The scientists also predicted that rising temperatures will increase the chance of wildfires occurring in the spring and fall. If this happens, the risk for wildfires will be higher in the spring, summer, and fall of each year.

 

The population of the Southern United States is predicted to rise. More urban development in and near forests is expected. A rising population and more development will mean more people living in and near forests. The scientists caution that more people could mean more wildfires because some careless actions can cause wildfires, and more people will be living near and in forests.

Reflection Section

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Adapted from Stanturf, J.A.; Goodrick, S.L.[In press]. Fire. In:Wear, David N.; Greis, John G., eds. The Southern Forest Futures Project: Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-178. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Southern Research Station. http://www.srs.fs.usda.gov/futures/reports/draft/pdf/technicalreport.pdf.

PDF preview of Natural IQ Climate Change cover. The cover is a photo of a woman holding a large measuring device in a river.

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  • PDF preview of Fire and Water FACTivity.
    The question you will answer in this FACTivity is: How would I use technology to communicate wildland fire safety in the year 2050? Materials: Paper Pencil Poster board Markers Internet...

    FACTivity – Fire and Water

    • Activity
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    • 1 Classroom Period
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    The question you will answer in this FACTivity is: How would I use technology to communicate wildland fire safety in the year 2050? Materials: Paper Pencil Poster board Markers Internet...
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  • Education Standards
  • Educator Guide
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  • Education Files
  • Project Learning Tree

Standards addressed in this Article:

The Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) are a set of K-12 science education standards emphasizing inquiry-based learning, real-world applications, and integrating engineering practices, aiming to deepen understanding of science while promoting critical thinking and problem-solving skills.
  • ESS2.C-M1
    Water continually cycles among land, ocean, and atmosphere via transpiration, evaporation, condensation and crystallization, and precipitation, as well as downhill flows on land.
  • ESS2.C-M2
    The complex patterns of the changes and the movement of water in the atmosphere, determined by winds, landforms, and ocean temperatures and currents, are major determinants of local weather patterns.
  • ESS2.C-M3
    Global movements of water and its changes in form are propelled by sunlight and gravity.
  • ESS2.D-M1
    Weather and climate are influenced by interactions involving Sunlight, the ocean, the atmosphere, ice, landforms, and living things. These interactions vary with latitude, altitude, and local and regional geography, all of which can affect oceanic and atmospheric flow patterns.
  • ESS3.B-M1
    Mapping the history of natural hazards in a region, combined with an understanding of related geologic forces, can help forecast the locations and likelihoods of future events.
  • ESS3.C-M1
    Human activities have significantly altered the biosphere, sometimes damaging or destroying natural habitats and causing the extinction of other species. But changes to Earth’s environments can have different impacts (negative and positive) for different living things.
  • ESS3.C-M2
    Typically as human populations and per capita consumption of natural resources increase, so do the negative impacts on Earth unless the activities and technologies involved are engineered otherwise.
  • ESS3.D-M1
    Human activities, such as the release of greenhouse gases from burning fossil fuels, are major factors in the current rise in Earth’s mean surface temperature (global warming). Reducing the level of climate change and reducing human vulnerability to whatever climate changes do occur depend on the understanding of climate science, engineering capabilities, and other kinds of knowledge, such as understanding of human behavior, and on applying that knowledge wisely in decisions and activities.
  • LS1.C-M1
    Plants, algae (including phytoplankton), and many microorganisms use the energy from light to make sugars (food) from carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and water through the process of photosynthesis, which also releases oxygen. These sugars can be used immediately or stored for growth or later use.
  • PS3.D-M1
    The chemical reaction by which plants produce complex food molecules (sugars) requires an energy input (i.e., from sunlight) to occur. In this reaction, carbon dioxide and water combine to form carbon-based organic molecules and release oxygen.
The Common Core Standards are educational benchmarks in the United States that outline clear expectations for what students should know and be able to do in English language arts and mathematics from kindergarten through 12th grade, aiming to ensure consistency and coherence in education nationwide.
  • Cite specific textual evidence to support analysis of science and technical texts.
  • By the end of grade 8, read and comprehend science/technical texts in the grades 6-8 text complexity band independently and proficiently.
  • Determine the central ideas or conclusions of a text; provide an accurate summary of the text distinct from prior knowledge or opinions.
  • Follow precisely a multistep procedure when carrying out experiments, taking measurements, or performing technical tasks.
  • Determine the meaning of symbols, key terms, and other domain-specific words and phrases as they are used in a specific scientific or technical context relevant to grades 6-8 texts and topics.
  • Analyze the structure an author uses to organize a text, including how the major sections contribute to the whole and to an understanding of the topic.
  • Analyze the author's purpose in providing an explanation, describing a procedure, or discussing an experiment in a text.
  • Integrate quantitative or technical information expressed in words in a text with a version of that information expressed visually (e.g., in a flowchart, diagram, model, graph, or table).
  • Distinguish among facts, reasoned judgment based on research findings, and speculation in a text.
  • Compare and contrast the information gained from experiments, simulations, video, or multimedia sources with that gained from reading a text on the same topic.
Social Studies Standards are educational guidelines outlining the essential knowledge, skills, and concepts students should learn in subjects such as history, geography, civics, and economics, aiming to provide a comprehensive understanding of societal structures, historical events, and global perspectives.
  • People, Places, and Environments
  • Science, Technology, and Society
  • Time, Continuity, and Change

What Is a Natural Inquirer Journal?

Three Natural Inquirer journal covers with NI bee

 

A Natural Inquirer journal is a collection of 4-8 articles on a related science topic. Journals are written for a middle school audience, but they can also be adapted for both high school students and advanced upper elementary students. Some journals are particularly suited to high school students; you can find our grade level recommendations in the tags on the product page or by filtering journals by grade level.

Journals include:

  • Four to eight articles based on published, peer-reviewed research papers; the articles keep the research paper format (see more below) but are written in language students can understand.
  • A FACTivity for each article, which is an activity to complete after reading the article. The FACTivity helps reinforce major science concepts from the article. These activities are designed to be easy to implement, with few material requirements and options for adapting them for your audience or available resources. Some articles in a journal may have two FACTivities.
  • A short “Welcome to the journal” article about key background information and science concepts that unify the articles included in the journal
  • A glossary of new terms for each article and the introductory materials.
  • A list of related Natural Inquirer publications for each article as well as outside references.
  • Standards correlations, including Next Generation Science Standards, addressed in the articles and the FACTivities.

Journals may also include additional essays (called spotlights), other activities (like crossword puzzles or vocabulary challenges), and more.

 

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Reading Modes

Journals are available in three different formats:

  • Hard copies can be ordered from the website and shipped, all free of charge.
  • PDF versions of the printed journal can be downloaded free on the website. The PDF version directly replicates the content and layout of the printed version. You can also download individual articles as pdfs.
  • The “Read Distraction Free” option allows the individual articles to open in their own window, without the rest of the website being visible. These articles can be found under the “Articles” tab. This version allows readers to scroll to particular sections of the article using the sidebar menu on the left side of the screen. This version also has interactive Reflection Sections and Number Crunches. Students can enter their answers, submit them, and then receive the correct answers to double-check their work. Submitted answers are not saved on the website and will disappear once the window is closed.

What's in a Natural Inquirer Article?

Here, we'll go into more detail about the parts of a Natural Inquirer article and give you some ideas about how they can be used.
  1. Meet the Scientists

    This section introduces the scientists (and others) who worked on the study. In their own words, they each share a memorable science experience, a favorite research project, or something they learned during the course of their education or research.

    Use this section to:

    • Introduce kids to the variety of people who work in science
    • Introduce kids to the variety of scientific fields and give brief descriptions of science-related jobs
    • Explore ways that people interact with science every day

    Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS) applications:

    • Science and Engineering Practices
    • Crosscutting Concepts: Influence of Science, Engineering, and Technology on Society and the Natural World

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    Many of the scientists and engineers featured in this section are also featured on our collector cards. Learn more about their work, how they got interested in their fields, and interesting projects they worked on. Cards can be printed as posters, too.

    A sample Meet the Scientists page, showing four different scientists
  2. Thinking About Science

    This section briefly describes a concept about science or scientific research. This overview can touch on topics like

    • study type (longitudinal study, quantitative vs. qualitative data),
    • behaviors of scientists (conducting literature reviews, collaborating with other specialists, replicating earlier studies),
    • the practice of science (the scientific method, engineering design, data collection, randomization, controls and variables),
    • or other aspects of science (bias, correlation vs. causation).

    Use this section to:

    • Reinforce steps in the scientific method and the process of science
    • Encourage students to think about the practice of science and what it can and cannot tell us
    • Consider the many types of scientific study and what information each type can provide

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Science and Engineering Practices
    • Life Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    You can use key words to search for other or related scientific topics on our website (e.g. “longitudinal study,” “bias,” or “sampling”).

    A sample Thinking About Science page from a recent monograph
  3. Thinking About the Environment

    This section provides a brief overview of a topic or concept in environmental/life science. The topic or concept is directly related to the research study that follows. Examples of topics include the carbon cycle, the water cycle, habitat fragmentation, phenology, biodiversity, and ecosystem services.

    Use this section to:

    • Provide important background information to help students understand the research study
    • Serve as a quick reference during reading or class instruction
    • Connect the research article with other activities or media on the same topic

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Life Science and some Earth Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    You can use key words to search for more resources on life or earth science topics on our website (e.g. “habitat,” “carbon,” or “genetics”).

    A sample "Thinking About the Environment" section from a recent monograph
  4. Introduction

    This section begins the scientific article format. Much like the published, peer-reviewed study this article is based on, the introduction provides background information for the study – what is currently known and what remains unknown. The introduction culminates in the question(s) the study hopes to answer.

    The introduction is also the first section with a Reflection Section. This section includes two or three questions to help kids reflect on what they’ve just learned in the Introduction. If they are using the online distraction-free reading mode, they can answer these questions directly on the website.

    Use this section to:

    • Review important background information that kids need to understand the study
    • Connect the study to the concepts addressed in the Thinking About Science and Thinking About the Environment sections
    • Understand research questions and hypotheses, including generating their own hypotheses given what they already know

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Life Science and some Earth Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    Use one of the guided reading lesson plans to help kids follow the format of a scientific paper.

    A sample introduction page from "Hidden in Plain Sight"
  5. Methods

    This section is the nuts and bolts of the study design – the who, what, when, where, why, and how of the research. Contained within the Methods section are usually maps of the study location or the set-up of study plots, as well as details about what data was collected and how.

    The Methods section also ends with a Reflection Section – two or three questions to help students think through what they just read. These questions are interactive on the distraction-free reading mode.

    Use this section to:

    • Show students how experiments and studies are designed and carried out
    • Explore sampling methods and randomization
    • Introduce various data collection tools (e.g. camera traps, surveys, insect collection tools, weather stations, etc.)
    • Explain bias and how studies are designed to remove bias
    • Help students gain experience with map reading

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Life Science and some Earth Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    Many Methods and Findings sections contain Number Crunches, which are simple math exercises designed to help students interact with the data from the study.

    A sample methods section of a monograph article showing a map
  6. Findings

    This section summarizes the data collected during the study. The Findings section usually includes data tables or graphs and highlights the significant data points from the study. This section often mentions statistical analysis or the use of computer programs to model or analyze the data, though these methods are only discussed generally.

    The Findings section also ends with a Reflection Section – two or three questions to help students think through what they just read. These questions are interactive on the distraction-free reading mode.

    Use this section to:

    • Have students practice reading and interpreting graphs and tables
    • Compare results between variables and controls
    • Explain the concept of statistical significance
    • Discuss how no data or negative results still provide valuable information

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Life Science and some Earth Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    Search the website for “map” or “graph” to find activities where students can practice making and reading maps and graphs.

    The beginning of a Findings section featuring a large data table
  7. Discussion

    This section concludes each article. In it, we summarize the main findings of the scientists’ study. Additionally, we present the scientists’ ideas about the limitations of their study, the big-picture impacts of their research, and the scientists’ plans for future study or action.

    The Discussion section ends with a Reflection Section – two or three questions to help students think through what they just read, especially general take-aways from the study. These questions are interactive on the distraction-free reading mode.

    Use this section to:

    • Discuss what conclusions can and cannot be drawn from the available data
    • Explain the difference between correlation and causation
    • Explore study limitations and opportunities for further study
    • Brainstorm ways the study findings could be applied to real-world situations

    Next Generation Science Standards applications:

    • Life Science and some Earth Science Disciplinary Core Ideas (depending on topic)
    • Most Crosscutting Concepts (depending on topic)

    Note that specific standards for this particular journal are linked on this educator guide tab.

    Other resources:

    Use the “Designing Your Own Study” resource page for videos of scientists discussing their own research studies. The page also includes educator resources to help students plan their own scientific studies.

    The beginning of the conclusion of "Hidden in Plain Sight"

Additional Resources on the Website

A screenshot of the product tabs for an NI monographOn the website, we pair each journal with a variety of other resources, as well. Use the tabs on the product page to browse through the following:

  • Related activities, including the FACTivity for each article
  • An “About” essay that gives some larger context for the research the scientists conducted or more information about the science topic from the journal
  • A glossary of all boldfaced terms from the journal
  • A “Scientists and Collaborators” page that lists the people involved in the studies in the journal; click on a researcher to reach their bio page and see what other articles they might be featured in
  • A “Related Content” page that lists both Natural Inquirer resources about similar topics and also outside reference materials

Article Selection and Review

Natural Inquirer partners with the USDA Forest Service, so we source research studies by Forest Service scientists that have been peer-reviewed and published in reputable journals. Some of our articles have also been created in collaboration with scientists from other Federal agencies, such as U.S. Geological Survey and the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, universities, and other non-profits.

All journal articles are reviewed by scientists who conducted the original research study to verify scientific accuracy. Journals are also reviewed by student editorial review boards of middle or high school students before publication. Additionally, all journals are reviewed by the Forest Service and the U.S. Department of Agriculture before publication.

A screenshot of the citation for "Lights, Camera, Tracks"Every journal article includes a citation of its source study. Many educators pair the original research paper with our article to help more advanced students learn how to read formal research papers. The journal article then serves as adapted primary literature, bridging the two articles.

Lessons

  • Questions Only Lesson Plan PDF preview
    Use Bloom’s Taxonomy and an adaptation of the “questions only” reading strategy to help students read and understand a Natural Inquirer article. Note: This lesson plan can be used with...

    Lesson Plan – Questions Only

    • Lesson Plan
    • Middle School
    • 1 Classroom Period
    • Critical thinking
    • Guided reading
    • Reading strategy
    Use Bloom’s Taxonomy and an adaptation of the “questions only” reading strategy to help students read and understand a Natural Inquirer article. Note: This lesson plan can be used with...
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)
  • PDF Preview of the Paragraph by Paragraph Lesson Plan
    Focus student understanding of the main idea of a paragraph in each section of a Natural Inquirer article through a reading and note-taking process. This lesson plan can be used with any...

    Lesson Plan – Paragraph by Paragraph

    • Lesson Plan
    • High School
    • Middle School
    • 2-3 Classroom Periods
    • Active Forest Management
    • Agriculture
    • Carbon
    • Citizen Science
    • Engineering and Forest Products
    • Fire
    • Insects
    • Pollinators
    • Pollution
    • Recreation
    • Social Science
    • Water
    • Wilderness
    • Wildlife
    • Graphic Organizer
    Focus student understanding of the main idea of a paragraph in each section of a Natural Inquirer article through a reading and note-taking process. This lesson plan can be used with any...
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)
  • PDF Preview of the Venn Diagram Lesson Plan
    Ask students to compare and contrast two articles using a Venn diagram. This lesson plan can be used with any Natural Inquirer article.

    Lesson Plan – Venn Diagram

    • Lesson Plan
    • High School
    • Middle School
    • 2-3 Classroom Periods
    • Active Forest Management
    • Agriculture
    • Carbon
    • Citizen Science
    • Engineering and Forest Products
    • Fire
    • Insects
    • Pollinators
    • Pollution
    • Recreation
    • Social Science
    • Water
    • Wilderness
    • Wildlife
    • Graphic Organizer
    Ask students to compare and contrast two articles using a Venn diagram. This lesson plan can be used with any Natural Inquirer article.
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)
    • Explore Lesson Plan
    • Download Lesson Plan (PDF)

Education Files

Project Learning Tree

If you are a trained Project Learning Tree educator, you may use “Living with Fire” as an additional resource.

Glossary

View All Glossary
  • assume

    (ə süm): To take information as granted or true.

  • assumption

    (ǝ sǝm(p) shǝn): A fact or statement taken for granted (that it is true).

  • drought

    (drau̇t): A long period of dry weather.

  • economic

    (ek ǝ nä mik): Of, relating to, or based on the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services.

  • evident

    (ev ə dent): Clear to the sight or the mind.

  • extinguish

    (ik stiŋ gwish): (1) To cause to stop burning; (2) to bring to an end.

  • ignite

    (ig nīt): To cause to burn.

  • leaf litter

    (lēf li tər): Dead plant material, like leaves and twigs.

  • precipitation

    (pri si pə tā shən): A deposit on the Earth of hail, mist, rain, sleet, or snow.

  • project

    (prə jekt): (verb) To plan, figure, or estimate for the future.

  • topographic

    (tō pə gra fik): Of, related to, or concerned with the physical features that make up the topography (tə pä grə fē) of an area, such as mountains, valleys, plains, and bodies of water.

  • variable

    (ver ē ə bəl): (1) A factor, trait, or condition that can be changed or controlled; (2) a quantity that may assume any one of a set of values.

  • wildland

    (wī(ǝ)l(d) land): An area in which few or no people live that is not used for farming and is more or less in its natural state.

  • Photo of Scott Goodrick in front of a sign titled 'Researching Weather'.

    Scott Goodrick

    Meteorologist

    My favorite discovery is that the atmosphere connects all parts of the globe. Colder than normal ocean temperatures along the equator in the Pacific Ocean can change weather patterns over...
    View Profile
  • Photo of John Stanturf, he's turned away from camera and is looking at a group of young children.

    John Stanturf

    Ecologist

    My favorite science experience is getting to meet all kinds of people in many countries and seeing different kinds of forests.  
    View Profile

Jump To

  • Additional Resources

Additional Resources

  • "Seeing the risk before the flames: Modeling big-picture wildfire risk"

    Learn more about a new modeling tool that the Forest Service is using to assess wildfire risk and to allocate resources accordingly.

    Read Article
  • Smokey Bear

    Learn more about fire safety tips and ways you can prevent wildfires.

    Visit Website
  • Firewise Communities Information

    Every year, devastating wildfires burn across the United States. At the same time, a growing number of people are living where wildfires are a real risk. While these fires will continue to happen, there are things you can do to protect your home and neighborhood as well as your family’s safety. The Firewise USA® program is here to help you get started.

    Visit Website
  • Fire Adapted Communities

    Learn about fire adapted communities, find tools and resources, and get inspired by community wildfire adaptation work. This site will be periodically updated with new resources, additional Spanish resources and translations, and more; check back often for updates!

    Visit Website
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The Natural Inquirer program produces a variety of science education materials for PreK through grade 12. Natural Inquirer products are produced by the USDA Forest Service, FIND Outdoors, and other cooperators and partners.

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